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Decision Support and Forecasting Center CEMI RAS |
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Econometrics and Its Applications
Modeling Russian social indicators
Sergei Aivazian, Boris Brodsky, Alexander Bereznyatskiy
In this paper one of the methods of social indicators modeling is discussed. We suggest three-stage approach: initially we develop theoretical model of Russian economy, taking into consideration some features such as Dutch disease. The set of exogenous variables are derived from the model. At the second step econometric modeling is used to test the findings. Finally we explore the regional level of the problem in order to rigorously test the models and to explain the outcomes of variety of researches focusing on spatial distribution of social indicators values in the Russian economy.
Keywords: Russian economy; disaggregated macromodel; applied econometric analysis; social sector; regional economy. JEL classification: C30; C32; C51; E13; E24; R10.
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