Decision Support and Forecasting Center CEMI RAS

 

 

 

 

Econometrics and Its Applications

 

Econometric models of regional consumer price indices

 

Sergei Aivazian, Boris Brodsky, Alexander Bereznyatskiy

 

Multivariate econometric models of Russian inflation are proposed in this paper. Consumer price index is used to quantify inflationary processes. Monetary and non-monetary variables are examined in the models. The authors consider foreign exchange rate of the ruble as monetary factor and government regulation of prices for certain goods and services and food market condition as non-monetary. Special attention is paid to a regional aspect of the problem. The question is whether estimates of parameters of the models are stable and statistically significant at the level of regional
consumer price indices. The key result is statistical significance of models for the majority of the
regions.

 

Keywords: consumer price index, inflation, Russian regions, econometric models of price indices.

JEL Classification: E31, E37, R15.

 

 

    (3.23 MB Russian version)

                                          

      

                                                                     

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Contact information:
Professor Boris Brodsky, CEMI RAS t.: (499)-1291122 fax: (499)1291122 brodsky@cemi.rssi.ru